The pundits think Clegg wants seats. He does – but he wants a massive popular vote much, much more and he is not too bothered how it is distributed across the country.
Standing atop his big bubble with only a fortnight to go, Clegg has momentum and no longer needs to win debates. He'll jump through the unavoidable hoops but in fact he can now shrug off Paxo and Brillo. They are not speaking the language of his New Motley Army which, recruited with a seductive gaze into a camera, is too busy revolting to be bothered with reasoned argument, good governance, principle or the dangers of voodoo economics. All Clegg has to do is avoid elephant traps and keep firing - in any direction..
The LibDems are waging - and may be winning - the battle they have chosen on the ground they have chosen. GOTV. RATM. The Battle of Facebook. Massive numbers of new-voter registration forms have been downloaded - and many may have even been submitted. Yellow is the colour of the season. The banker's son and public school toff Clegg is fashionable. Stranger than fiction, eh, Two Jags?
Clegg can smile at the fever of actuarial calculations of which marginal constituencies may or may not fall to the Yellow Peril because this is the wrong question.
Clegg needs to lose on 6th May, but with the largest share of the national vote.
Can you see what it is, yet?
Best of all for Clegg would be the guaranteed howl of national outrage if the stinking corpse of Brown Labour were returned to government on only 20-odd per cent of the vote.
Given a slightly larger Parliamentary minority than he presently has, Clegg could block legislation at every turn until the new government conceded FPTP.
Go easy, Mr Clegg. David Cameron would win a back-me-or-sack me election in time of catastrophe, with a landslide.
Beyond Parliament, Clegg calculates, a Libdem majority vote rendered impotent by FPTP could cause such rage that Tribune Clegg would find himself at the head of an implacable mob of incandescent electors howling that they had ‘won’ the election but been disenfranchised by ‘the old system’ and demanding perestroika.
The new government of whatever party could find it impossible to govern normally against a united front of hungry minority parties sensing a chance for power-sharing (think Israel). The Final Battle For PR would be led by ‘Honest’ Nick Clegg backed, he hopes, by a demonstrable national majority and flanked by national treasures Vince Cable and Shirley Williams, urged on by Left-establishment pundits and a media positively orgasmic at such a big, novel narrative. Broadcasting studios would be stiff with gnarled old Sherpas claiming fathers and grandfathers who were democratic revolutionaries who - every one of them - knew Lloyd George.
The rump of Labour would march in step with the New Motley Army towards – they calculate – the dream of perpetual centre-Left government and the permanent exclusion of the Conservative Party from office.
Vote Conservative. Not UKIP. Vote Conservative. Give Cameron a thumping great majority and a clear mandate or you may find you have voted for the abolition of constituency-based MPs, total control of government in the hands of party whips and corrupt lobbyists just like Clegg's beloved European Parliament, where he learned his politics. And permanent, EU-directed Left government.
Clegg's New Motley Army may think they are lions but they are led by calculating men who are using them to rob us of our democratic rights and give total power to their friends: un-sackable, smiling Party machine men in expensive suits with taxpayer-funded lives and their internationalist hearts in Brussels. Think Mandelson without a face you can put a name to.
Sorry, no, unless Cameron concedes a referendum on the EU, my vote will go to UKIP.
ReplyDeleteIf your UKIP vote denies a Tory a seat and thereby puts Clegg/Brown in government, you will have voted for the very bastards who denied you a vote on Lisbon and are determined that your opinion on Europe will never be sought ever again. Ever.
ReplyDelete'Wasted vote' hardly covers it. A UKIP vote in present circs is nothing short of constitutional suicide.
Well that's the Tories problem not mine, give me something worth voting for and I will. As it stands Cameron also decided I wasn't going to get a vote on Lisbon either. He also knows Lisbon is self amending, meaning all his promises over the EU are meaningless too.
ReplyDeleteHis very attitude forces EUsceptics like myself elsewhere to vote for a real anti-EU political movement.
If the Tories lose this election, they only have themselves to blame, because it was theirs to win easily against the most corrupt, useless labour government and leader since their party began. Instead they haemorrhaged votes left right and centre by supporting green taxation, refusing an EU referendum, supporting the smoking ban which in turn has closed our pubs down, cosying up to minority voting groups instead of keeping the mainstream happy.
Cameron could turn this whole thing around tomorrow night, by taking into account some of what I've said.
But he wont.
That's why he'll lose
Thats a real horror story.
ReplyDeleteAnother vote for UKIP here - the tories dont stand for anything I believe in any more than lib and lab. If its a hung parliamnet then it would be more interesting to see the tories ditch cameron and install davis, now that would be interesting
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