How many commentators, whether ambassadors or central bankers, might thus have described Anthony Blair, before he took office in 1997 and became, indisputably and regardless of one’s estimate of his contribution to the common good, a heavyweight global figure? Inexperienced? Certainly, like all politicians when they first take office. Lightweight? Clearly not. Fake? Only up to a point.
Ambassadors are well advised to take a long look before judging young, unknown politicians. They’re only unknown because they’re on their way up. Give ‘em time. Astute politicians learn very fast indeed once they take office and can amaze their critics who wonder how the hell they could have missed such obvious talent.
American ambassadors to the smarter capitals are rarely career diplomats like those of HMG. Washington’s most prestigious embassies are often dished out by successful presidential candidates as rewards for massive campaign support. American ambassadors are shrewd men (yes, usually men) with brains, charm and (usually self-made) wealth, Ivy League alumni accustomed to portentousness and theatrical solemnity in politicians of significance. Americans respect portentousness. They equate impenetrable language with wisdom and depth of insight.
A man like Gordon Brown ticks all the boxes of such ambassadors who will report to their masters that this is a heavyweight, a man to be reckoned with, to be listened to with respect. Well, initially, until his disastrous incompetence in office and general weirdness become apparent. But initially, the Gordon Brown type looks like what Americans want a senior politician to be like.
David Cameron, on the other hand, looks like an Ivy League preppy, all money and charm but with no substance. Fully house-trained, delightful manners, acceptable anywhere, even a possible suitor for one’s daughters. No threat, but no weight either. Not to be taken seriously.
Ha.
There are plenty of subtle and observant Americans. They just don’t want to be ambassadors.
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